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【0.143 short $DYDX , 75x cut to 1098% — this trade is about the dismantling of the “Arcus strategic shift” narrative】
A lot of people thought DYDX’s July move from 0.1982 down to 0.12 was just a technical pullback, but the chain of events was already laid out:
① Rebound leg — On July 1, the v8 upgrade + rumors of Trump’s crypto reserve + a rebound in the DeFi sector drove DYDX to surge 24.2% in 24h to 0.1982, rebounding 150% from the March low.
② Trigger leg — On July 2, dYdX Labs announced the launch of Arcus DEX on the Robinhood Chain (95 stock tokens + perpetual contracts). DYDX then crashed 23.11% that day to 0.145, with some platforms dropping by over 40%.
③ Core contradiction — Arcus is an independent product deployed on the Robinhood Chain rather than the dYdX Chain; the team’s strategic focus has shifted, and DYDX’s token value-capture ability has been materially weakened. Although Antonio pledged to reserve Arcus tokens for the DYDX community, the allocation details and unlock schedule have all not been disclosed.
④ Technical leg — Shorted at 0.14336, right at the exhaustion level after the retrace following Arcus’s launch. By July 23, spot was at 0.1282; the RSI at 48.5 is neutral to slightly weak, and price has stayed below the 50-day moving average.
Shorting at 0.14336 was betting on “narrative dismantling + failed retrace.” 75x took profit at 0.12116, and 1098% was pocketed.
Next time, trades like this where “good news realized is the top” $BTC $ETH #ETH重返1900美元