@Web3院士:Can Ethereum (ETH) break through the 7.28 resistance, deciding the upper limit of the mid-term trend? Latest market analysis reference


  
  Ethereum’s current price is 1928. Yesterday, the points I gave were criticized by some fellow traders for being too far from the stop-loss. Trading systems are different, so naturally the methods also differ—but the essence of trading is unchanged. Especially in the crypto market, trading’s essence is trial and error. Start with small-cost trial positions, use a trading system you’ve verified in your own market practice to wait for an entry signal, and if it matches, take the trade. After entering, set the stop-loss according to the system requirements: lose to protect break-even, move the stop, wrong is stop, right is hold. Repeat intentional training, and probability and results will emerge.
  
  Long-time fans already know: we have been laying out positions in the northbound move below 1600 for a long time. What we need to do now is just short-term scattered orders—fast in, fast out, just to “scoop the wool.” The main event is still the northbound layout. On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are running upward, but after price touches the upper band, it faces pressure and the upside momentum slows. Short-term moving averages continue to provide support, but the longer-term moving averages above exert strong suppression. The daily MACD red histogram keeps shrinking, and demand for short-term pullback is heating up. Structurally, it still belongs to a bear-market rebound. To reverse the long-cycle bearish trend, you must effectively hold above the 1982 resistance; support below is 1853. If it breaks, the short-term rebound trend ends.
  
  On the 4-hour chart, the price surged to test the 1983 Fibonacci resistance and was rejected and pulled back. Price is still trading above the medium- and long-term moving averages, and the mid-term bull structure is temporarily intact. The Bollinger Band contraction is closing and tightening, market volatility is gradually narrowing, and a breakout window is approaching. The 4-hour MACD is showing signs of forming a death cross, so the probability of continuing the short-term adjustment is relatively high. Pay close attention to the effectiveness of the 1870 Fibonacci 38.2% support. If support holds, after the adjustment ends, there may be another push higher; if the support is pierced by the bears, the market will further pull back to retest around 1730.
  
  Short-term reference:
  
  If northbound positions do not break below 1880 to 1840, set stop-loss at 1800, targets 1950 to 1980
  
  If southbound positions do not break below 1980 to 2020, set stop-loss at 2050, targets 1930 to 1890
  
  Actual execution should be based on real-time order book data. For more information, you can view the author’s posts. The article release may be delayed; the above is for reference only—risk is your own $ETH
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