$BTC 7.25 Crypto daily analysis

⚠️Risk warning: Crypto currencies are highly volatile. The content is for market reference only and does not constitute investment advice. High-leverage contracts can easily lead to liquidation.
BTC spot price is $65,300. After probing the low at $64,150, it saw a corrective rebound and regained the $65,000 level. Signs of buy-side support have emerged below, but the rebound momentum is limited, and it has not yet reversed the weak structure from the earlier high-to-low decline. ETH is also rebounding to $1,872, with a weaker rebound magnitude than BTC. Market sentiment has warmed somewhat; major coins are repairing in sync, but small-cap altcoins are splitting sharply. Most coins lack sufficient rebound follow-through, and capital still prioritizes top-tier majors to seek relative safety. Liquidity fluctuations have intensified: the BTC spot ETF has seen temporary outflows, and institutions have been taking profits on strength. This rebound is temporarily defined as a technical repair.
Macroeconomic pressure remains. The Middle East geopolitical conflict supports oil prices, and inflation concerns have not fully faded. U.S. Treasury yields stay elevated, suppressing crypto asset valuations. With the upcoming FOMC rate decision, market disagreement has increased. Although mainstream expectations keep rates unchanged, the expectation of a September rate hike has not been fully priced out. Funds are actively reducing positions to avoid decision risk, and the outlook is characterized by strong wait-and-see sentiment.
Key levels: BTC resistance at $65,700 and $66,500; support at $64,300 and $63,300. ETH resistance at $1,910; support at $1,820.
Trading approach: Don’t blindly go long on the corrective rebound; do not chase breakouts. If holding positions, trim in batches into resistance. For spot, wait for stabilization signals before positioning. For contracts, strictly control leverage. In the upper resistance zone, try shorting with a light position. Altcoins are highly volatile—avoid as much as possible and focus on waiting for a directional move driven by the FOMC rate decision.