The two most likely scenarios for Bitcoin in the short term!



I’ve been stressing a bearish view for this period, and so far the view remains unchanged.

These past few days, the U.S. military has stopped striking Iran, and oil prices have fallen by 10%—yet in the public square, a whole bunch of “bulls” have suddenly come back, opportunistically jumping on the move the moment they smell a shift.

What I want to say is that oil prices are still high, the inflation pressure is still there, and rate-hike expectations are still there too.

Even if a ceasefire really happens, the most it could bring is a short-term wave of sentiment—going back to bullish still isn’t the right time. $BTC #美军13天轰炸伊朗后停火
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BlueChipBottomFeeder
· 42m ago
You’re right—if inflation doesn’t die out, the bull market won’t come.
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SecurityCircleWatcher
· 55m ago
Oil prices falling is only temporary; core inflation remains firm. The Federal Reserve can’t turn this quickly, and the short-term rebound is just a scramble to get out.
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DogeEvangelist
· 2h ago
Those who cry “the bull is back” every time oil prices fall are truly fence-sitters. Where were they when oil prices were rising—why didn’t they call for a bear market then? Inflation hasn’t been resolved yet, and rate-hike expectations are still there. Don’t let emotions sway you—just be patient and wait.
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