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From 2.543 to 3.93, in the past 24 hours it dumped in a straight line; $DEXE fell 27.57% in a single day, with $440 million in trading volume—this volume isn’t retail capitulation, it’s institutions rotating positions. Fear greed index? The current value is 18, which is in the extreme fear zone. In the past 3 months, it has dipped below 20 only twice, and both were followed by a rebound of 15%+.
Funding rates have crashed from 0.05% to -0.15%: shorts are eating interest until they’re full. But historically, once DEXE funding rates fall below -0.12%, the price typically reverses by 8%+ within an average of 72 hours.
Don’t trust the screenshots on-chain where idiots shout “the bottom is in”—data is what speaks. Right now the price is in the 2.543-2.643 range. This is the strong support zone that went sideways for half a year in August 2024. Once it breaks below 2.5, the next support is at 2.2; but combined with extreme fear indicators and massive volume, I bet this is where a sentiment bottom forms.
The last time something similar happened was on October 23: fear value 21, funding rate -0.18%. Then over the following 3 days it surged from 2.7 to 3.4, a 26% gain. History won’t repeat, but human nature always rhymes.
Operation advice isn’t telling you to go all-in and gamble right now. Enter in batches from the left side: place the first order at 2.6-2.7, with 20% position size, and set a stop-loss at 2.48. If it gets dumped near 2.5, add 15%, and raise the stop-loss uniformly to 2.45.
Take-profit targets in two tiers: first target 3.2 (former support turned resistance), second target 3.6 (suppressed by the 24-day moving average). On the right side, wait for the funding rate to normalize back to above 0.01% before adding another 10%.
Remember: fear is a gift, but you still need courage to unwrap it. Tip a rocket to unlock my daily turn-point trigger strategy. A sentiment turn-point is the best time to enter.