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【All traders, watch this week’s big event|The Super-Central-Bank Hawkish Test】
A triple-inflation storm sweeps the globe: the Middle East conflict pushes oil prices above $100, new U.S. tariffs raise supply-chain costs, and massive AI capital inflows continue to drive up prices.
This week’s major events are converging and landing all at once:
The central banks of the U.S., the U.K., and Japan release rate decisions in sequence, and the market is closely watching Waller’s hawkish remarks; expectations of rate hikes over the year keep rising;
U.S. core PCE and Eurozone CPI are released, directly confirming inflation stickiness;
Tech giants including Apple, Microsoft, Meta, and Qualcomm release financial results in a concentrated wave, and the semiconductor sector has already tumbled ahead of schedule this week.
On the asset front: U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar keep strengthening, the yen hits a 40-year low; gold around $4,000 faces a key test; U.S. equities—especially overvalued tech stocks—show clear pressure.
This week’s market volatility is amplified, and the risk appetite for one-way positions is high. Current market setup: U.S. Treasuries and the dollar are strong, with the yen trading in low-level range; gold around the $4,000 level is under pressure; pullbacks in U.S. tech are intensifying.
Friendly reminder: volatility is rising this week—strictly control position risk and track fundamental signals from multiple angles.
Feel free to exchange ideas on future portfolio positioning.
#夏日创作营