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Good afternoon, everyone! Market analysis! Thanks for your support!
According to monitoring by PPP Predict Market tool, on Polymarket the probability of “an effective ceasefire between the US and Iran before July 31” has risen to 59%, up 19% in a single day. The settlement basis for this event is that the US did not carry out specific military actions against Iranian territory within 14 days before the cutoff date. Settlement information references official information from the US and Iranian governments and militaries, as well as reports from credible media.