$RIF It dropped to 0.077—this is even more brutal than the half-cycle period drop in the prior three times. During the same period in 2020, it only fell 8%; this time, in 24 hours it went straight to -12.68%, and 0.10 has become a solid ceiling. This is the loss I ate in my last round: before the main run-up surge before the halving, there’s always a wave that blows up the contracts clean. Historical data shows that, 60 days after the first two halvings, after a similar deep pullback, it still rallied by 3–5x. The current 0.07–0.08 range is the main support zone from the previous two cycles.

My personal plan is: around 0.075, add 1/4 of the position; set the stop loss at 0.068 if it breaks down; first target 0.12. Don’t exceed three tenths of your position size. This round’s tempo is faster than the previous two—this is playing heartbeat. If you want to squat and wait for my real-time trades, go find your own entry signal.

History won’t simply repeat, but it will rhyme. Don’t believe me? Wait until August after the halving and come back to check this post.