Big BTC went into shorts. After analyzing it, I still felt it needed to drop. Even though I’ve always insisted that only after the 613 breakdown can we judge the big trend downward, I analyzed that it would drop and went in right away.

This is a bit dangerous—because I didn’t wait for the 8:00 AM close. During the Saturday live stream, I measured the time cycle; the top should come around 8:00, which is also when the selling pressure should start.

I feel like I may have run too early. But I carefully analyzed the international situation, as well as the underwriter’s/“big player’s” custody of chips and their distribution and dumping.

Although the U.S. has paused the fighting, there are big funds and Israel is holding things in tow. Trump wants to pause the fighting, but he can’t outdo the capital side. Capital daddy is still very powerful. Last time, the fighting was basically theater—so BTC went against the trend and kept rising the more they fought. This time, although their impact on the order book is small, the situation is a bit different. I also know they’re performing, trying to strangle Europe. But the Houthis have started to blockade the Strait of Mandeb, and Ukraine hit a ship belonging to Iran. That’s a three-front war: Iran, the Houthis, and Ukraine—and even what seems like the U.S. side (UlanK) is interesting. As Xiaoze said, “It’s war—you do what you want!” There’s a risk that the war could expand, and it’s different from my earlier analysis. Things have changed.

The institutions/big players built positions around 637 over the weekend. While the chips rose all the way up, they were already steadily distributing and offloading!

Anyway, I’ve prepared for the possibility of being stopped out. On Monday’s open, it’s quite possible that the big player will first猛拉 upward and then smash it down again. The idea is: after pulling, sweep the liquidity, then it can drop more effectively.

Last time was like this too: first drop, then pull back at around 8:00, and then smash down again! The decision is made—once you buy, you leave. The rest is up to the market.
‍$BTC