7.26 BNB next week trend forecast: the rebound is nearing its end; next week maintain a strategy of shorting on rallies

From the four-hour technical chart, BNB this week started an oversold rebound from the low at 556.12. The current price has surged to the strong resistance area near 573.58 around the upper band of the Bollinger Bands. The KDJ indicator has already entered an extremely overbought range. The upward momentum of the short-term bulls is close to exhaustion. In essence, this sustained push higher is only a technical correction after the prior sharp drop; it does not have the conditions for a trend reversal. Although MACD still maintains short-term bull volume expansion, the marginal momentum of volume is gradually weakening. The room for the bulls to keep pressing higher afterward is very limited.

Taking the broader crypto market backdrop into account, Bitcoin’s medium-term downtrend has not undergone any fundamental change. The overall market structure remains dominated by bears, and the rebound height of altcoins will be tightly constrained by the broader market’s movement. As a platform token, BNB’s price action closely tracks the main market; it is difficult for it to break out into an independent upward trend. As the short-term rebound gradually plays out, a heavy sell pressure in the 570-574 range is likely to form. Multiple attempts by the bulls to push higher have failed to effectively break through the resistance level.

On the macro front, although the Middle East geopolitical situation has temporarily eased, the underlying risk of conflict has not been completely removed. Global risk-aversion sentiment has not fully dissipated. The Federal Reserve’s high interest-rate cycle continues to be delayed, dollar-denominated asset yields remain high, and the willingness for new incremental capital to enter the crypto market remains sluggish. The pattern of ongoing outflows of existing funds from within the market has not changed either, which continues to suppress BNB’s upside room from a macro perspective.

综合技术面与宏观环境判断，下周BNB的短期反弹行情大概率迎来收尾，即便盘面出现小幅冲高，也只是最后的诱多动作，价格触及上方压力区间后，就会迎来新一轮的抛压回落。下周整体操作思路依旧以逢高做空为主，依托570-574附近的压力位分批布局空单，严格做好仓位管控与止损设置，顺应大盘空头节奏，把握后续回调下行的波段机会。

Target range: 555-550$BNB #美国对60个经济体加征关税 #SEC推进美股24小时交易