Gulfstream Notes: 2026.07.26-14.30

ETH short-term trade idea. The backdrop trend is a potential four-hour top trading range. The current price pulled back to around 1850 near the lower boundary of the box for support, then bounced to around 1890 at the midline where it met resistance and pulled back again. The bulls are weak. On the one-hour timeframe, a narrow rising channel broke below its line, and on the 15-minute timeframe there is a clear bearish-break signal. The rising channel is inclined to break downward, and the broader background trend is also bearish. For short-term T1 take-profit, set a 1:1.5 risk-reward. For T2 take-profit, set a 1:3.6 risk-reward.

Watch closely whether the 4-hour MACD golden cross is effective. You may look to enter at an opportune time this afternoon at 16:00. If, after breaking the line, it rebounds back into the channel, then it should be treated as a false breakout; you would need to look for a short signal at a higher level (above 1900). This trade only considers the 123-rule for breaking the trendline. The target is at most to see the channel’s initial move point—don’t get greedy. $ETH ‌