【$ETH Signal】Bear raid setup: 1H buy-side exhaustion + 4H Bollinger upper band suppression

$ETH RSI on 1H slipped from 56 to 47; the MACD red histogram expanded, but the fast/slow lines still need a dead-cross confirmation. On 4H, the Bollinger Band upper rail around 1884 forms a barrier; price has attempted to break higher three times but failed to do so. The buy pressure ratio has declined, from 0.53 to 0.47. There are no clear signs of funds propping the market; instead, dense sell-limit orders have started appearing at higher levels.

🎯 Direction: short

⚡ Entry / pending orders: 1871.6 - 1876.5

🛑 Stop loss: 1895.3

🚀 Target 1: 1848.3

🚀 Target 2: 1834.3

🛡️ Trade management:
- Execution plan: After reaching Target 1, cut position size by 50% and move the stop loss up to break-even. If price falls back to the entry zone, automatically exit to protect principal.

Deeper rationale: The 1H trading volume keeps decreasing during the push higher, indicating insufficient active buy-side strength. The 4H RSI remains in the neutral zone but is leaning weak; a short-term funding rate of -0.0005% suggests the market isn’t overheated, but since the direction is set, follow through. Risk-reward is about 1.5, so you can try a small position.

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