【$ETH Signal】Bearish raid: 1H momentum exhaustion + 4H bearish suppression

$ETH 4H MACD is still running below the zero axis. Bearish momentum is shrinking, but the structure has not broken; after the 1H RSI hit 59, it leveled off, and the buying follow-through is clearly weaker. The sell-side depth ratio is higher than the buy-side; orders clustered around 0.6061—does this reveal the intention to hold up with capital? Not quite—this is shorting, and thick pending orders should be treated as resistance. The current price is stuck between EMA20 and EMA50, with neither bulls nor bears holding an absolute edge.

🎯 Direction: short

⚡ Entry / pending orders: enter in batches within the 1867.5684 - 1872.8600 range

🛑 Stop loss: 1891.5886

🚀 Target 1: 1844.7671

🚀 Target 2: 1830.7207

🛡️ Trade management:
- Execution strategy: after reaching target 1, cut the position by 50% and move the stop loss up to breakeven. If price falls back to the entry zone, automatically exit to protect capital.

Depth logic: the lower band of the 4H Bollinger band at 1834 provides downward pull; on the 1H MACD histogram, the bars have shortened for two consecutive candles, indicating insufficient appetite to push higher. A negative funding rate (-0.0019%) did not trigger a short squeeze, showing that the rebound force from longs is limited. Calmly evaluate this short trade’s risk-reward ratio of 1.5; the stop-loss distance is about 1.2%, which is within a controllable range.

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