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$BTC Crypto academician in the coin circle: Is the long-awaited 7.26 Bitcoin (BTC) one-way move not coming yet? Latest market analysis and trading suggestions
Currently BTC is at 64,300. The money many people lose in the range is more than even what a one-way move would cause. It’s not because the direction was wrong, but because the mindset got chaotic. Everyone keeps trying to catch every fluctuation, and the result is getting slapped back and forth. In fact, the best way to trade in a range is to hold your hands—only act on signals you can clearly understand. Set proper stop-losses; don’t let emotions replace judgment. In the crypto market, you can never finish making money, but you can definitely lose it all. Go slower, be steadier—it will take you farther
The daily K-line is running below EMA15, with EMA15 and EMA30 sticking together, forming a short-term moving-average entanglement pattern. There is a clear divergence between bulls and bears. The key overhead resistance is at the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement line (72,620). Strong support below is the prior low (58,030). In the near term, price is consolidating in the 61,800–67,000 range. In the MACD, both DIF and DEA are still above the zero line, with the red histogram continuing to shrink—bullish momentum is gradually weakening. In the Bollinger Bands, the midline is at 64,254 and basically overlaps with the current price; price repeatedly tests around the midline. Short term lacks clear direction guidance, and overall the market is in a weak consolidation phase
The four-hour K-line is running below EMA15. EMA30, EMA60, and EMA90 are arranged bullishly, but their slopes are flattening; the short-term moving-average cohesion is increasing, making the range-trading characteristics obvious. The 23.6% Fibonacci retracement line at 63,882 is the key support below. The price has tested this level multiple times without effectively breaking below it. The overhead resistance is the 38.2% retracement line at 67,503. In the MACD, DIF crosses below DEA, and the green histogram continues to expand—short-term bearish momentum has the upper hand. The Bollinger midline at 64,911 is pressing downward, while the lower band at 63,464 forms support. Price is moving between the Bollinger midline and the lower band; in the short term it leans toward weak consolidation. Pay attention to whether support holds effectively
Short-term reference:
If the price does not break below 64,000 to 63,500 from the downside, go north. Stop-loss at 63,000. Targets: 65,500 to 66,500
If the price does not break above 67,000 to 67,500 from the upside, go south. Stop-loss at 68,000. Targets: 65,500 to 64,500
Specific execution should rely on real-time order book data. For more information, you can check the author’s information. The article has a publication delay, so the suggestions are for reference only. Risk is yours to bear #Gate事件合约首发狂欢