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Next Wednesday (July 29), the Federal Reserve will release its July interest rate decision. Based on current market data and the broader macro backdrop, the key focus of this decision can be summarized as: the rate is likely to be kept unchanged in July, but inflation worries triggered by high oil prices are forcing the market to reprice the future rate-hike path.

July decision: “maintain the status quo” is the baseline expectation
At present, both Wall Street traders and mainstream economists broadly expect the Federal Reserve to keep the benchmark interest rate unchanged in the 3.50% to 3.75% range at its July meeting. This will be the Fed’s fifth consecutive meeting with no change. Although some traders’ bets on a July rate hike have intensified recently, overall, keeping rates unchanged remains the absolute mainstream expectation for the market. #美国对60个经济体加征关税