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Saudi oil is changing the global energy transportation map, and the Suez Canal may become a new “energy lifeline.”
Two major critical routes in the Middle East— the Strait of Hormuz and the Strait of Mandeb—are facing risks at the same time. Saudi tankers that originally headed to Asia are beginning to change their routes. To avoid pressure from shipping security, some vessels no longer sail east through the Mandeb Strait; instead, they detour west via the Suez Canal, the Mediterranean, and Gibraltar, and then circle around the Cape of Good Hope to return to Asia.
This seemingly “abnormal” route lengthens the voyage from about 19 days to 48 days. Fuel costs per ship surge from $1.26 million to $2.87 million, while also adding about $1 million in canal passage fees. Energy transportation is shifting from an efficiency race to a safety cost race.$CL
Although Saudi Aramco has increased the amount of oil transported through the Sumayd pipeline, with transportation capacity of 2.5 million barrels per day, it still cannot cover Saudi’s exports of about 7 million barrels per day. Supply-chain pressure transmits to the market, and crude oil prices quickly reflect risk expectations. NYMEX crude oil futures CL’s main contract touched $92.19, while ICE Brent crude BRN broke through the $100 mark.$BTC
What truly affects the market is not just the oil price itself, but the fragility of the global energy transportation system. Tighter shipping capacity, rising insurance costs, and longer transport cycles may all push energy markets into a phase of high volatility.
When key shipping lanes start bearing geopolitical risks, oil prices are no longer just a supply-and-demand game, but a repricing of security, transportation, and global supply chains.$ETH #布伦特原油重返100美元