This trade was a short opportunity built on “suspect first, confirm later.” At the start, the price was still hovering at a high level; on the surface there was no obvious breakdown. Even some people kept chasing longs, but I was watching the strength of each rebound—more and more it looked like a spike up then a fade, not a fresh restart.

When observing around 29,885.23, I didn’t rush in just because of one or two dump candles. I waited until the rebound couldn’t reclaim key levels, then I finalized the short thesis. After opening the position, I also went through several pullbacks; the most uncomfortable part was watching the price repeatedly chop around, almost getting shaken out.

Later, the market moved from 29,885.23 down to 28,278.91. This judgment played out as expected, and the result was recorded with +499.64%. The market didn’t give a comfortable straight-line drop, but with details like insufficient support and increasing sell pressure, it still ended up as a complete answer.

After this drop, I became even more convinced of the short logic. Trading doesn’t always require jumping in at the very front. If you can wait until the false strength shows its flaws, then step on the timing to get out, you’re actually less likely to get led astray by emotions.

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