$58 worth of HYPE—are you looking to buy the dip?



After falling 24% from ATH 76.85, down 4–12% over the past week, it’s currently ranging and consolidating in the 58–59 zone. Trading volume is 330–390 million, still active. The candlestick chart tells you this: the 56–58 rising trendline is holding; higher highs and higher lows are showing signs; RSI is neutral but slightly low; MACD is neutral; the shakeout is nearing the end, and a rebound is about to happen.

First thing: institutions un-staking 290 million— but you might have been scared out of your mind.

Multicoin un-staked 1.96 million HYPE (120 million USD), while Paradigm un-staked 2.92 million (171 million USD). The community blew up: “Institutions are about to run—shouldn’t we run too?”

Did that sound terrifying? But if you look closely—Multicoin clearly said this is “wallet rotation + privacy needs,” not a direct sell-off. Some tokens flowed to custodial and Grayscale-related addresses.

Second thing: the fundamentals are absurdly strong, but you’re being fooled by the price.

Hyperliquid isn’t an ordinary alt—it’s the absolute king of on-chain perpetual DEX:

TVL: $6.09 billion
OI: $11.5 billion

Perpetual 24-hour trading volume: $7.3 billion
7-day: $42.3 billion

Annualized fees: $1 billion+
Annualized revenue: $790 million

HIP-4 prediction market goes live: deploying requires staking 500k HYPE (at the $29 million level), directly increasing lock-up demand. The share of developer code trading jumped to 37%, a historical high.

Third thing: a signal on the technical chart that you must take seriously.

On the daily chart, it surged from $20 at the start of the year to $77, and has now pulled back to $58—right on the long-term rising trendline. A harmonic pattern suggests $55 is a potential Bat reversal zone; with the current price at $58, it’s only about $3 away.

Downward channel + consolidation on shrinking volume + trendline support—this is a textbook “healthy pullback within an uptrend.”

But don’t forget—at the $60 level, HYPE has been suppressed for a full week. Is it going to break straight through, or get hammered back to 56 again?

Long vs short showdown—see for yourself.

On one side:

Annualized revenue of $790 million, buyback flywheel keeps driving deflation
TVL $6 billion, OI $11.5 billion—the king of on-chain perps
HIP-4 prediction market + increasing staking demand boosts lock-ups
The 56–58 long-term trendline holds; harmonic potential reversal

On the other side:

Institutions un-staking nearly $300 million—massive psychological pressure in the short term
Rate-hike expectations heating up, macro pressure on risk assets
It failed to break $60 three times; short-term sentiment is weak

Key levels

Resistance above: 60 → 63-64 → 67-68 → 72-74 (previous high)
Support below: 56-58 (trendline + dense area) → 55 → 47-53

For short-term traders:

Try a small long on 58–59, stop-loss at 55.5, target 63–65. If it rebounds and meets resistance at 60–62, consider reducing the position.

For swing traders:

Accumulate in batches at 56–58, target 67–70. After breaking 75, look for 88–100. Stop out if the daily close breaks below 53 and liquidate.

For long-term believers:

HYPE is one of the few blue chips with a real revenue flywheel—pullbacks are a gift. Long term, look for 100–150+; the bet is that the derivatives DEX keeps eating into CEX market share. But watch the on-chain data after the un-staking—if there’s no large-scale sell pressure, that’s the reversal signal.

HYPE right now is like SOL in 2023—

90% of people thought “the FTX orphan is gone,” but it surged from $8 to $200. $BTC $SOL $HYPE #夏日创作营 # Gate event contract first-launch frenzy
BTC-1.07%
SOL-2.69%
HYPE-1.32%
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