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BIT Official: The United States federal government’s outstanding public debt is approaching $40 trillion, and market concerns about rising risks from Japan and China reducing their holdings of U.S. Treasuries are intensifying.
However, market concerns are rising: sovereign states such as Japan may gradually reduce their holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds to support a rapidly depreciating yen. Especially after nearly two decades of near-zero interest rate conditions, Japan currently also seems to be facing increasingly prominent domestic inflation pressure.
The era of near-zero interest rates has ended. As U.S. Treasury yields rise, they not only reflect the market’s concern that Japan may sell off its holdings of U.S. Treasuries, but also increasingly price in the risk that China may further reduce its U.S. Treasury holdings, especially after Trump accused Beijing of intervening in U.S. elections. With the U.S. midterm elections approaching in early November, this issue is expected to receive more attention and could further tighten relations between China and the U.S. Meanwhile, China continues to diversify its foreign exchange reserves, gradually reducing its allocation to U.S. Treasuries and increasing its gold reserves.