Ye Shifu watching the market | Rate-hike expectations heat up; BTC enters a key near-term battleground



This evening, market focus is back on the macro side: oil prices break $100, U.S. Treasury yields rise, and the U.S. dollar strengthens.
Market expectations for the Federal Reserve’s subsequent policy have warmed up again.

Tightening liquidity expectations may exert some short-term pressure on high-volatility assets, but what the market trades is never just the news itself—it’s the gap in expectations.

At present, BTC perpetual contracts are maintaining high-level consolidation, with price trading around 65,500.
In the short term, the key focus is the support zone of 65,000–65,200; if it holds, it indicates the long structure is still intact.
Overhead resistance is the 66,000–66,500 area; if it breaks out with volume, there may be an opportunity to continue pressing toward 67,000–68,000.
Above 67,200 lies a massive trapped-long position, and it’s also the level for large short liquidations.

But if macro sentiment deteriorates further, and BTC breaks below 64,400, the move may pull back to 64,000–64,200 to look for support.
In the short term, the market is entering a news lull, and volatility could be amplified further.
The closer you get to key levels, the more it tests your trading discipline.

Opportunity always belongs to the prepared, not to those who get carried away by emotion.
Price action won’t change direction because of your impatience—only by controlling the pace can you keep up with the market.
Trend rules; discipline comes first.
If you understand the cycle, you can ride through both rises and falls. $BTC #BTC
BTC-0.45%
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