Tonight at 20:30, the U.S. weekly initial jobless claims data will be released, and market attention is high.


Previous value: 208k; expected this time: 212k.

If the released figure is higher than expected, it suggests the job market is weakening, rate-cut expectations heat up, the U.S. dollar comes under pressure, and gold and BTC may receive support.
If the released figure is lower than expected, it indicates the job market still has resilience, rate-cut expectations cool down, the U.S. dollar strengthens, and gold and BTC could face pressure.

Data can swing fast, and it’s easy to see stop-sweeps that hunt wicks and trigger losses.
For tonight’s trading, execute with solid risk control, keep position sizes in check, don’t chase pumps or dumpers, and don’t hold stubbornly through adversity.
GLDX0.22%
PAXG0.16%
BTC-1.61%
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AirdropPoet
· 07-23 13:43
Every time the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and Initial Jobless Claims come out, it’s a meat grinder. The prior value was 20.8 and the forecast is 21.2—no matter which side it moves, it’s easy to get swept back and forth. It’s best not to place your limit orders too close to the current price/level, and keep your position light.
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ReverseCircuitBreaker
· 07-23 12:48
Don’t get carried away when the data is released—wait until the needle is fully inserted before you make your move.
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LegendaryHoarder
· 07-23 12:24
Above-expected bullish news for BTC, but beware of a fake breakout—set a stop-loss.
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MaxDrawdownMonitor
· 07-23 11:46
Tonight the data volatility will definitely be significant. The prior value is 20.8, with an expected 21.2. If the released figure is above 21.2, it indicates that employment is weakening. That would likely mean the US dollar falls and gold rises, but you should also be wary of buying the expectation and selling the fact. For trading, it’s best to wait until after the data is released and the direction is clear before entering—don’t rush to bet on the direction. Keep your stop-loss in place; staying alive matters most.
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