Unemployment claims data for the US is set to be released tonight at 20:30

⏰ Release time: 20:30, only 4 hours left
📊 Previous value: 208K, forecast: 212K
⭐ Four-star core employment data that directly sways expectations for a Fed rate cut

Qi Le’s outlook

If the data is higher than 21.2: employment weakens, and growth stocks, gold, crude oil, etc. are likely to weaken
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If the data is lower than 20.8: employment is stronger than expected, which weighs on rate-cut expectations; tech and risk assets will face pressure
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In line with expectations: the market is likely to trade in a tight range

Key warnings

Geopolitics in the Middle East is lifting inflation, and sentiment in the tech sector is relatively weak—data is especially likely to amplify volatility.
During the data window, volatility surges—keep positions lightly sized for short-term trading, use strict stop-losses, and avoid heavy position speculation. #特朗普警告9月政府停摆 $BTC $ETH