Friendly reminder: If the number of initial jobless claims for the week of July 18 announced tonight is below 208k, it may strengthen the market’s optimistic expectations for the job market.


If it is above 212k, it will most likely trigger concerns about an economic slowdown, affecting the Federal Reserve’s subsequent policy #特朗普警告9月政府停摆 direction.
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HoneypotHunter
· 3h ago
I guess this time the data is most likely between 20.8 and 21.2, and the market won’t see big swings, but the focus is still on Trump’s shutdown warning. If things really get messy in September, uncertainty will increase, and the Fed will probably have to stand down.
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FeiProtocolMemorial
· 3h ago
This data is pretty crucial—if it comes in below expectations, the market is expected to go wild again.
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