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Sell when the crowd is roaring; buy when no one pays attention. After BTC broke below $60k, many people started shouting $30k and $40k. Panic made most people afraid to open positions, but when you look back after another 3–6 months, this stretch of low-attention, pessimism-heavy sentiment—where nobody cared—may very well be a stage bottom.
The U.S. stock market is the same. When the market was full of noise, I tested the waters with a small position because I had already anticipated that the AI sector could adjust at any time. The subsequent price action also confirmed that caution.
Including this year going fully invested and getting cut roughly in half in losses, revisiting all of this is really just realizing that investing isn’t that hard: control your own desires and greed, stay rational at all times, wait for the best opportunity, manage position sizing to leave room for error. When the chance comes, you still need capital, rationality, and courage.
The US stock market is the same. When the market was roaring with activity, I built a small, exploratory position, because I had anticipated that the AI sector could adjust at any time. The subsequent price action also confirmed this caution.
Including going all-in this year and getting cut in half, revisiting these experiences is really just realizing that investing isn’t actually that hard: control your own desires and greed, stay rational at all times, wait for the best moment to appear, and manage your position size to keep room for error. When opportunities arise, you still have the funds, the rationality, and the courage.