🚨 MARKET ALARM BELLS! Will the rally continue, or will we get a nasty turn? 🔥

Friends, the markets are stuck in a squeeze between absolute pre-storm calm and sharp fluctuations! On one side, geopolitical crises and an oil shock; on the other, surprise gains in technology stocks and precious metals.
Here are the most critical developments shaking the market and our roadmap:
1️⃣ Trump–Iran Tensions and the Oil Shock 🛢️💥
Trump’s Remarks Tightened the Market: Trump downplaying the possibility of talks with Iran soon has escalated geopolitical risks.
Oil and the Dollar Are Soaring: Brent crude is holding near the 92$ level, while the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) is above 101.
Inflation and Interest Rate Pressure: Rising energy costs triggered global inflation concerns; U.S. 10-year Treasury yields are above the %4,60 level!
2️⃣ Gold and Silver’s Breakout Move 🪙📈
Defying Macro Pressure with a Strong Stance: Despite a rising dollar and surging bond yields, precious metals are trading positively.
The Downtrend Is Being Broken: Both gold and silver are sending signals that the downward trend that has been ongoing since mid-May is breaking to the upside. Spot gold shows resistance around 4.130$!
Correlation with Stocks: In this process, precious metals are moving in parallel with the stock market rather than reacting to macro data.
3️⃣ Excitement in AI Stocks and the 2Q Earnings 💻🚀
Fresh Blood for Tech: Nvidia’s new chip being ready for production and Super Micro’s rising orders gave morale to the tech side.
A Critical Earnings Test: The market is locked on to Alphabet and Tesla’s 2nd-quarter results. Investors want to see strong growth and guidance!
The Rally’s Fate Depends on Earnings: If the earnings come in strong, gold and silver could test higher resistance levels. But if expectations are not met, this positive divergence could end abruptly and sharply!
4️⃣ Global Markets Mixed 🌏⚖️
U.S. Futures Red: There is mild selling pressure in U.S. futures, with SP500 down between %0,12 and Nasdaq down between %0,5.
Asia Front: While Japan (+%1,2) and China (+%2,3) are trading higher, Hong Kong (-%0,8) is in negative territory.
5️⃣ Critical Hours in the Domestic Market: PPK and Moody’s! 🇹🇷⏳
TCMB Interest Rate Decision Tomorrow: Tensions in the Gulf and rising energy prices are making the disinflation process harder.
Moody’s Credit Rating Review on Friday: The credit rating and outlook decision to be announced Friday evening is vital for the direction of the domestic market.
⚠️ ATTENTION: As oil and rates head higher, it is risky in terms of sustainability for stocks and metals to stay positive for this long. We need to closely monitor earnings and developments in the Gulf!
#Piyasalar # Gold #BIST100 # Borsa #Dolar # Oil #YapayZeka # Economy #TCMB # Moodys #Trump # Silver