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When the war just begins, the gold logic may work; but once the conflict affects the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices, and global inflation, what the market is trading is no longer “safe-haven,” but liquidity contraction.
Oil prices rising means inflation pressure is back.
Inflation returning means the Federal Reserve will find it even harder to ease.
Easing delayed means valuations of risk assets remain under pressure.
So what BTC is truly facing now isn’t whether it has safe-haven attributes, but when the market is short of liquidity, who will be sold first.
The answer is usually: the asset with the best liquidity, 24/7 trading, and the highest leverage—namely BTC.
#GateDEX全面接入RobinhoodChain