🌙 Brother Hao Evening News《Geopolitics blew up again, the Fed went hawkish, liquidations of $360 million—can you still go long tonight?》



Geopolitics has blown up again. U.S. forces carried out airstrikes around the Strait of Hormuz, oil prices surged, and risk-off sentiment dragged down both the Nasdaq and crypto. The Fed is still going hawkish—don’t even think about rate cuts. On-chain, $360 million was wiped out over the past 24 hours; the fear index is 26, and sentiment has hit a freezing point.

There are also positives. The ETF is still seeing net inflows, and institutions are coming in—but macro is overpowering it, so the short term can’t make much of a wave.

$BTC It’s been whipsawing between 63,900 and 64,200, and 64,500 hasn’t been reclaimed. It’s currently testing support at 63,500 to 63,800. If it can’t hold, then look at 62,000.
$ETH Weaker: it’s just churning around 1,860 to 1,870 again and again, and it can’t even get back to 1,900. Look down at 1,830 to 1,850—if it breaks again, then 1,800.
$SOL It’s still being propped up around $73, but the overall altcoin market has been dragged down as well.

Overall, it’s just a wait-and-see. Both bulls and bears are waiting for a signal—no one dares to make the first move. If levels haven’t broken, don’t chase longs or copy shorts and bottoms. If you’re in cash, watch; if you’re lightly positioned, try small longs. Stop-losses are locked in. If BTC breaks 63,500 or ETH breaks 1,850, all long positions get cut—wait for the next platform.

Don’t over-allocate to leveraged contracts. All the volatility is being smashed by sentiment. For intraday scalps, just enter and exit quickly. This isn’t a time to go hard. Survive first—waiting for direction is stronger than anything else.
#PreIPOs第二期OpenAI认购
BTC-1.47%
ETH-1.37%
SOL-1.99%
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