📉 Core short-selling strategy (trend-following; main recommendation)

With the current price capped below **2,000), sell on any rebound.

- Entry range: $1,920 - $1,935 (use the oversold rebound pullback opportunity to add to/enter)
- Stop-loss level: $1,965 (must effectively cover yesterday’s high of $1,946.75 and leave some buffer; if it breaks, the short logic is invalid)
- Take-profit targets:
- First target: $1,840 (MA7 support; profit of about 4.5%)
- Second target: $1,725 (MA25 support; profit of about 10%)
- Aggressive target: if it breaks below 1,700** the integer level on increased volume.

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📈 Alternative long strategy (on the far left side; only for aggressive setups)

If the price first touches MA7 ($1,840) nearby, there may be a technical rebound, but going long against the trend carries higher risk.

- Entry range: $1,835 - $1,845 (strictly wait for price to touch MA7)
- Stop-loss level: $1,800 (if it breaks the prior low and the integer level, you must exit)
- Take-profit targets: $1,900 - $1,920 (only about 4% upside room; require fast in, fast out)

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⚠️ Core risk and volume warnings

1. Low-volume crisis: the current volume bar (160K) and the average volume (3.5M) are vastly different; an absolute low-volume reading means extremely low market participation. If, afterward, there is no influx of large-volume funds, the price is very likely to flash crash within a few minutes due to a small number of sell orders.
2. Indicators dulled: although RSI(6) has fallen from 80.97 to 78.08, it is still far above 70; the time and space of the pullback are insufficient to digest the prior overbought condition.
3. Trend suppression: the 30-day rally has narrowed to 3.75%; if today closes bearish, it will form a daily “evesning star” pattern, further strengthening the short-side trend.

Trading advice: mainly short on rebounds. If the price consolidates and ranges around $1,910, it’s recommended to wait and enter again after the rebound is above $1,925. Do not chase shorts during a low-volume bearish drift (it easily leads to a rebound that sweeps stop-losses). Use strict stop-losses and control position size. 🧐