That is prediction trading on Polymarket, not regular spot trading like directly buying Bitcoin.

You buy the "YES" or "NO" chance of an event happening, for example:

"Will Bitcoin drop to $75,000 in May?"

"Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 between May 4–10?"

How to profit:

If your prediction is correct when the market closes → you receive a payout close to $1 per share.

If wrong → the position value could be $0.

From your screenshot:

Bet $19.98 → potential win $90.86
It means the odds are still low, but the payout is large if correct.

Tips for more consistent profits:

1. Don't just follow your gut

Use:

Bitcoin chart

economic news

Fed data / interest rates

support & resistance levels

Example: If BTC is strongly bullish, the chances of hitting high prices are greater than a big dump prediction.

2. Find markets with mispriced odds

Sometimes the market is too fearful or too optimistic.

For example:

BTC is close to $84k

but the market probability is only 20%

That could be a value bet.

3. Don't go all-in

Use:

5–10% of your capital per position

keep some cash aside

Because market prediction is very volatile.

4. Profits don’t have to wait until the end

On Polymarket, you can:

buy YES at a low price

then sell when the price rises

Example:

Buy YES at 20¢

rise to 45¢

sell → profit without waiting for the final result

This is similar to regular trading.

5. Focus on high liquidity

Choose markets with:

large volume

small spread

Because it’s easier to enter and exit positions.

6. Avoid too many positions

Better to have:

1–3 well-understood positions than:

20 random positions

7. Pay attention to timing

Prediction markets are heavily influenced by:

breaking news

CPI

FOMC

ETF inflows

war / politics

Prices can change very quickly.

If you want, I can also help explain:

when to buy YES or NO

scalping strategies on Polymarket

how to read market probabilities

how to hedge to minimize risk

small capital strategies with $50–$100 like your current account.