June 11th, the Middle East Black Swan officially takes off, global funds reprice overnight!

🚨 Latest facts (this morning)

- The U.S. military conducted airstrikes on mainland Iran for two consecutive days, targeting refineries, ports, and missile positions
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- Iran's Revolutionary Guard blocks the Strait of Hormuz, oil tankers are prohibited; Houthi threats to close the Bab el-Mandeb Strait
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- Trump: "If no agreement is signed, we will flatten Tehran," possibly escalating strikes tonight
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- Oil prices jump 3.5%, energy inflation skyrockets

📊 Federal Reserve synchronized attack (May CPI exploded)

- CPI year-over-year 4.2%, month-over-month 0.5%, energy contribution over 60%
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- 2-year U.S. Treasury yield 4.15%, market shifts from rate cuts to rate hikes (as early as September)
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- New Chair’s first FOMC meeting (6/17) seen as a "rate hike preheating"

📈 Market status (6/11 12:00)

- BTC: $62,688 (up 2% intraday), Fear Index 12 (Extreme Fear)
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- ETH: $1,653 (+1.35%)
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- 24-hour total liquidation: 128k traders, ETF continues large redemptions

🧠 One-sentence logic

Stagflation + war = prolonged high interest rates = downward revision of risk asset valuations.
BTC’s short-term rebound is emotional recovery, not a reversal.

📌 Key levels

- Support: $61,800 / $60,500
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- Resistance: $63,500 / $64,800

✅ Operations

- Spot trading: build small positions in batches around $60k–$62k, only BTC/ETH, stay away from altcoins
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- Futures: only short-term longs + rebound shorts, leverage ≤3x, never hold overnight on news bets

#美伊冲突升级 #我的Gate交易时刻 #美国5月CPI创三年新高 $ETH