#伊朗袭击以色列 As of now, the United States and Iran have not reached a permanent peace agreement, and there is no clear timetable for when such an agreement can be achieved.



The current progress and core status of negotiations between the US and Iran are as follows:

1. Negotiating stage for a “60-day ceasefire memorandum”
The US and Iran are currently working to reach a framework for a 60-day temporary ceasefire memorandum, with the aim of laying the groundwork for a “final agreement” to permanently end hostilities in the next step. However, the memorandum is still awaiting final review and approval by U.S. President Trump and has not yet been officially signed.

2. Trump proposes a “two-week” deadline, but there is uncertainty
On June 8, local time, U.S. President Trump said at a public event that negotiations between the US and Iran are making progress. He predicted that the US would achieve “comprehensive victory” over Iran within the “next two weeks” and reach the related agreement. However, this is not the first time Trump has set a “two-week” deadline. In April, the US-Iran ceasefire agreement also set a similar timeframe, but subsequent negotiations did not achieve a final breakthrough as scheduled.

3. Core differences make it difficult to reach a permanent agreement in the short term
Although the two sides have touched on some principles, there are still obstacles that are difficult to overcome on the path toward permanent peace:

Nuclear issue and disposition of enriched uranium: The US requires Iran to hand over or destroy high-enriched uranium, but Iran’s supreme leader has ordered a ban on the export of enriched uranium, only willing to dilute it domestically or have it supervised by a third party.

Control over the Strait of Hormuz: The US insists that the strait must be fully open and toll-free; Iran emphasizes sovereignty and jurisdiction over the strait, and argues that openness should be carried out under pre-agreed arrangements.

Asset unfreezing and sanctions relief: Iran lists the immediate unfreezing of $12 billion in frozen assets as a prerequisite for initiating subsequent negotiations; the US insists that it will consider unfreezing assets or lifting sanctions only after an agreement is reached and Iran demonstrates good conduct.

External resistance and a deficit of trust: Israel strongly opposes a potential agreement and threatens to take military action, while U.S. domestic hawks also exert pressure. At the same time, due to historical reasons, mutual trust between the two sides is seriously lacking.

At present, negotiations between the US and Iran are only at the stage of bargaining within a temporary ceasefire framework, and there is still a very long way to go before reaching a permanent peace agreement.
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