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95.4% probability of no rate hike! Is the Federal Reserve really planning to stand pat this time?
Latest data shows.
The probability of the Federal Reserve keeping interest rates unchanged in June has reached 95.4%.
The market has almost already bet on it.
This means the liquidity environment will not continue to deteriorate.
For tech stocks and cryptocurrencies, this is undoubtedly good news.
But the question is.
No rate hike does not mean an immediate rate cut.
Powell still needs to observe inflation data.
Therefore, the pace of rate cuts this year may be slower than market expectations.
Funds are starting to seek balance again.
They are both worried about rising inflation.
And concerned about economic slowdown.
This contradiction has also caused the market to enter a period of volatility.
In the coming months.
Data will determine the direction.
Not sentiment.#非农数据超预期加息预期升温