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Bullish USD / Bearish Gold, Silver, Bitcoin
- Payrolls above 150K
- Unemployment 4.3% or lower
- Strong wage growth
This would likely reduce expectations for Fed rate cuts, supporting the dollar and putting pressure on gold, silver, and crypto.
Bullish Gold, Silver, Bitcoin
- Payrolls below 80K
- Unemployment rises to 4.4%–4.5%
That would increase expectations for Fed easing and could trigger buying in precious metals and risk assets.