$BTC ‌#分享美股交易赢英伟达股票

📊 The most critical judgment: Is $61,345 a bottom or the middle of the climb?
Signal points to the middle of the climb: Over 70% bulls are still holding
→ Liquidation hasn't ended; Taker has sold more than bought for 6 consecutive periods
→ Selling pressure continues, rebound with no volume
→ Rebound at $64.5k with much lower volume than the $70k crash; $66-67k during the collapse = former support turns resistance
→ Rebound ceiling, but also must admit $61,345 might be a short-term bottom: Flash crash V-shaped rebound +5.3% ($61.3k→$64.5k) = someone is buying heavily, volatility has reached an extreme → Mean reversion suggests $60k psychological level is very close → Bears may need to accumulate strength to break through
🎯 Strategy: Short on the rebound, enter short position at $65,500-$66.5k (when rebound weakens)
Stop loss at $68k
Target $62,000 → $60k → $56k R:R 1:2.2 (to $60k) ~ 1:4 (to $56k)
Position size 3-4%. Why not wait for $67-68k or higher before shorting?
Because 70% of big players are betting on a rebound to $67-68k to cover their positions,
which itself is resistance. $65.5-66.5k is the likely area for a rebound. If you want to be cautious, pyramid in stages: $65,000 with 1.5%, $66,500 with 1.5%, $67,500 with 1% (triggered conditions)
Stop loss unified at $68,500
❌ Three no-go zones
�� Bottom-fishing and going long: 70% of big players are bottom-fishing and getting liquidated, why be the 71st?
🚫 At $64k, chasing a short after a flash crash V-shaped rebound, getting caught in the rebound while shorting is as foolish as chasing longs
🚫 Heavy position at $61.3k might be the bottom; getting it wrong hurts a lot. One sentence: BTC crashed from $77.6k to $61.3k, 70% of longs are still holding, positions are being liquidated,
$BTC Consistent shorting across all dimensions on 7/7. Wait for the rebound to $65.5-66.5k to short, stop loss at $68k, target $60k→$56k. Iron rule: Don’t bottom-fish, don’t chase shorts, wait for the rebound.