The US and Iran have indeed started fighting again, and the war has escalated once more. These days, the discussions have been exhausted. The success rate of buying oil on dips is much higher than shorting, because the war won't end so easily, and this doesn't align with the interests of both the US and Iran. The US cannot accept a war without victory, one that is inexplicable and unclear. Since Iran has already gained the upper hand, and the international survival environment has improved compared to before the war, there is no need to proactively end the conflict before achieving strategic goals. Therefore, continuing the war is inevitable. Currently, it's just small-scale skirmishes, and oil prices have only jumped a little. In the future, they might take a few days to rest again, and after what seems like an end, they may escalate again. In short, without a major confrontation between the US and Iran, it will be difficult for the war to end completely until a final victory is decided.