These past two days, everyone has been watching the token unlock calendar. In the group, they shout, “It’s going to crash, it’s going to crash,” while also refreshing on-chain data to look for proof. I actually want to say: don’t be too superstitious about that string of “on-chain” information you see. It can be delayed too. If node synchronization is slow, RPC stutters, or the indexing service is lagging, the transfer/staking changes you see may be replays from minutes ago—or even longer.

I thought that last night’s big unlock would trigger an immediate sell-off, but after checking for a long time, I found out it was just the interface I was using having issues. Switching to a different RPC data source filled in the missing pieces… To put it simply, sometimes it’s not the market deceiving you—it’s the mirror you’re looking into getting foggy. Anyway, I have two rules now: don’t scare yourself with a single source, keep your positions according to plan, and when your emotions start to flare up, close the page first. That’s it for now.