1.94 USD TON, are you going to buy in?

Telegram personally takes the lead as the biggest validator, transaction fees cut by 6 times, block time reduced from 2.5 seconds to 0.4 seconds— but just now, the price was hammered back from 2.17 to 1.89, market cap halved and then halved again, still 70% away from the all-time high of 8.25.

First look at the surface: positive news bombardment, capital flowing back.

In the past 24 hours, it’s up 5%, trading volume exploded to 600 million USD, a strong rebound of 44% in one month, market cap at 5.1 billion, firmly in the top 20. The candlestick chart shows: that 36% bullish candle in early May wasn’t fake, today’s volume rebound indicates funds are re-entering.

First thing: Telegram officially takes over, the narrative has completely changed.

Pavel Durov personally announced “Make TON Great Again,” transforming TON from a “foundation chain” into a “Telegram native chain.” Transaction fees dropped to $0.0005, and after Catchain 2.0 upgrade, throughput increased tenfold.

Second thing: fundamentals are quietly accumulating.

On-chain wallet activations exceed ten million, DEXs like STON fi and DeDust are deeply integrated with Telegram, user friction is almost zero. Legacy Bridge is about to shut down, forcing migration to native DeFi, liquidity will concentrate and explode.

Even if only 1% of Telegram’s users become active on-chain, that’s 9 million people, directly entering the top ten.

Third thing: a must-watch technical signal has appeared.

Today’s trading volume expanded to 600 million, price rebounded from 1.79 to 1.89, funds are testing the waters. But the 2.0-2.17 range has been suppressed for nearly a month. Break through 2.17, look at 2.5-2.8; if it can’t hold above 2.0, it might drop back to 1.8.

On one side:

- Telegram personally managing, 900 million user access

- Transaction fees almost zero, faster than SOL

- 44% increase in one month, trend turning bullish

- Mini App ecosystem exploding, Notcoin leading the way

On the other side:

- Still 70%+ below the all-time high of 8.25

- TVL at a low point, ecosystem not yet solid

- Centralization controversy, Durov makes the call alone

- Failing three times at 2.0-2.17, pressure mounting

Key level at 1.89, just 9 cents away from strong support at 1.80.

Resistance above: 2.00 → 2.17 (critical line) → 2.50-2.80

Support below: 1.80 (200-day moving average bottom) → 1.70-1.75

Short-term traders:

Wait for a pullback to 1.80-1.85 before entering, stop-loss at 1.78 (if it breaks below the 200-day MA, exit), first target 2.10-2.17, if it breaks 2.17, add positions towards 2.50.

Swing traders:

Wait for daily close above 2.00 before entering, use dynamic take-profit to hold, target 2.50-2.80. Break above 2.17 is a confirmation signal, don’t get shaken out by a shakeout.

Long-term believers in the narrative:

DCA around 1.80. Even if Telegram converts 5% of its 900 million users, TON’s market cap could reach trillions. Reasonable target by end of 2026: $3-4, betting on Durov actually doing the work. But expect volatility around the Legacy Bridge shutdown on September 1, don’t go all-in.

TON now is like SOL in 2021—

Everyone said “what’s the use of many users if there’s no ecosystem,” then six months later, it skyrocketed from $3 to $200.

On the day 2.17 breaks, you’ll realize it’s not that TON is bad, but that you’re afraid to believe in the “super app + public chain” imagination. #股票交易挑战最高赢17000U #美军打击伊朗 $BTC $ETH $TON