CME data is here: the probability of a rate cut in June is 0.1%, which can be ignored.


The market has long priced in a pause, now it's just a matter of whether a black swan in July will force a rate hike.
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MeNews
The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged in June is 99.9%.
ME News message: On May 26 (UTC+8), according to CME “FedWatch”: the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through June is 99.9%, with a 0.1% chance of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged through July is 90.3%, with a 9.6% chance of a cumulative 25 basis point rate hike, and a 0.1% chance of a cumulative 25 basis point rate cut. (Source: Jin10)
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