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Analysis: The model predicts BTC may reach $255k within the year, with the long-term valuation range raised to $308k.
Deep Tide TechFlow News, May 20, According to Cointelegraph, Bitcoin has fallen about 40% from its October 2025 all-time high, but long-term valuation models still show significant upside potential. Based on the "Bitcoin Decay Channel" for long-term trend estimation, the conservative end-of-year range for Bitcoin has been raised to $90k–$255k, with an even higher scenario reaching up to $255k.
This model fits the logarithmic decay trend of previous cycle highs and lows, showing BTC approaching the upper band at the peaks of the 2013, 2017, and 2021 cycles, while the bear market bottoms fall near the lower band. Analyst Sminston stated that Bitcoin is still in a historic long-term upward channel and pointed out that the 2027 price range could further expand to $128k–$308k.