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Why aren’t the little black guys talking anymore now? Is anyone still rebutting?
Isn’t this market trend already clear enough? How many people are opening shorts at 80,500? And how many people are still chasing shorts at 81,200?
That drop yesterday was obviously a shakeout by the main force. The moment they smashed it down, you started panicking again, and you thought a black swan had arrived. But trading is never something you can easily make big money from. Even if you understand technical analysis and the market, if you don’t understand human nature and don’t understand those flashy, gimmicky trading tactics of the main force, you’ll still get harvested back and forth.
Many people saw that sudden, unpredicted waterfall-like decline yesterday—it fell especially smoothly—and then started shouting that the main force was distributing (selling), and that the bull market was over. But the real problem is that on the order book, there’s still nearly 10 billion in funds that haven’t been taken up by retail traders at all.
To put it plainly, this kind of decline is fundamentally about washing out the mood of the shorts. The main force first scares you out, making you feel compelled to chase shorts, and then—handy as it is—traps the shorts. Because being trapped in short positions is, in itself, the best fuel for pushing higher later.
So why was I still firmly bullish yesterday? Because real distribution wouldn’t look like this kind of plunge driven by panic—no absorption, no increased volume, no stampede. If the main force truly wanted to exit, they wouldn’t give you such a “comfortable” opportunity.
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