On the way back to my hometown, I’ll spend a bit of time typing up replies to answer a few of the most frequently asked questions lately.

Teacher, what do you think about the big trend?

Actually, one sentence is enough: Buy the dip, and that’s it. The market doesn’t have any so-called absolute big direction at all.

I’ve always been saying that the real-time flow of funds is extremely unstable. If there really is some “analyst” who can predict with 100% certainty where Bitcoin is going to go—do you think they’d still come out every day to call the next move? They would’ve gone all in long ago.

That’s also why I rarely talk about the long-term big direction, because most of the time in this market, it’s not technical analysis that decides things. News moves first, and technicals are only auxiliary. Market makers also act based on news, sentiment, and liquidity—not just by drawing two lines to determine the direction of this enormous high-risk market.

Right now, there are too many people in the market who casually shout 4w, 6w, 10w. But the real question is: what’s the basis? You can’t blindly look for higher prices just because the market is going up, and you can’t blindly call for a crash just because it’s going down, right?

This market has never been as simple as pumping up prices and dumping them. It’s a game between funds, sentiment, news, and liquidity.

For the friends who can take this seriously and read all the way here, and who hope your assets can grow steadily in the crypto market—stop being so fixated on the “big direction.”

My big-picture view on BTC is always bullish—but in the middle, there will definitely be countless rounds of shakeouts, wick-pokes, panic, and bull trap setups.

If you want to make money, the core is just one sentence:

Buy the dip
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