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Just caught wind that Rafał Zaorski is back doing what he does best - making noise on X with some wild market plays. The Polish speculator has been relatively quiet, but when he resurfaces with a clear thesis, you know something's brewing.
This time around, Zaorski went after precious metals with short positions. Gold and silver had been on an absolute tear - the kind of move that usually doesn't happen with assets that are supposed to be 'safe.' But Zaorski saw it differently. He started building shorts when gold hit around 5500 and silver around 117, essentially betting the rally would reverse. Most traders would've been terrified at those levels, but that's not really his style.
Here's where it got interesting. The price action started looking less like a traditional precious metals chart and more like some degenerate altcoin move from years past. Within hours, gold dropped 15% and silver nearly 35%. Zaorski didn't catch the absolute bottom - he closed positions roughly midway through the decline - but the scale of the move was enough to hand him a decisive win. He didn't miss the irony either, commenting that investors who kept buying at the peaks would 'never learn' and that FOMO had brutally punished them once again.
But here's the thing that caught my attention. After closing his metal positions, Zaorski casually dropped that he's returning to crypto 'in a week' and that it's 'going to be a fat quarter.' That's trader language for something significant brewing.
When you dig into what Zaorski is actually waiting for, the picture becomes clearer. He's watching for a change in Fed leadership - specifically someone more crypto-friendly who might lean toward monetary easing. From the context of his posts, it seems like he's expecting initial euphoria in crypto markets following such a shift, which in his view would create the setup he's hunting for. Given that we're potentially entering a bear cycle in Bitcoin and Zaorski has a known preference for shorting rallies, you can probably connect the dots on what he's anticipating.
The coming weeks will be entertaining. Either Zaorski will be posting victory laps mocking his critics, or the market will humble him and his opponents will have their moment. Either way, when Rafał Zaorski is actively trading and posting about it, the X crypto community gets content. Love him or hate him, the man knows how to make things interesting.