Brother Tong's 5.13 BTC Strategy

Yesterday's CPI data: Overall CPI annual rate 3.8%, core CPI monthly rate 0.4% (above the expected 0.3%). The unexpected core inflation is confirmed, but the sell-off has already been completed, and the daily chart remains bullish. The negative factors are exhausted, just a shakeout.

The Federal Reserve's leadership change has been implemented, with Waller taking over and Powell remaining as a board member. The hawkish stance was digested by the market a month ago, so there is no violent rate hike black swan.

This week, the Senate Banking Committee will hold a key vote on the crypto regulation bill (CLARITY Bill). Both parties have basically reached an agreement, with a very high probability of passing. If the committee votes in favor, it will be a crucial step in breaking the years-long regulatory deadlock, gradually removing obstacles for institutional entry, and strengthening the foundation for a long-term bull market. Currently, the market is in its final shakeout before implementation.

Additionally, Trump will visit China starting today, bringing positive expectations to macro sentiment. Although not directly bullish for crypto, it helps boost global risk appetite, creating a warmer background.

Practical Strategy

Entry: Buy in the 79,800-80,300 range (wait for volume reduction and a confirmed stop of decline signal)
Stop-loss: Below 79,500
First target: 81,500
Second target: 82,000