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U.S. stocks closed on Monday, with the Dow initially down 0.1%, the S&P 500 up 0.1%, and the Nasdaq up 0.2%. Nvidia (NVDA.O) closed up 4% and hit a new all-time high, with a market cap of $5.2 trillion at the close. Global geopolitical tensions remain tense, with the Middle East negotiations at an impasse and energy shipping disruptions pushing oil prices higher. The US dollar index rebounded from lows, combined with high US Treasury yields, leading to a general cooling of global risk appetite. Stock markets and precious metals showed a divergence of sharp rises followed by declines. Due to macroeconomic negative shocks and profit-taking at high levels, the crypto market quickly reversed after reaching a stage high, with a broad pullback. Bullish momentum rapidly weakened, market sentiment became pressured, and short-term trends entered a weak consolidation phase. Yibo will continue to monitor the implementation of Federal Reserve policies, institutional capital flows, and on-chain data changes, providing real-time updates on strategic layouts and target asset movements.
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Bitcoin continued its oscillating upward trend from the weekend yesterday morning, reaching a recent high near 79,400 but encountering strong resistance. The bulls lacked the strength to sustain the rally, and by midday, it retreated to around 77,500, entering sideways consolidation. In the evening, a slight rebound pushed it briefly to 78,200 but was quickly met with resistance and pulled back. Coupled with external macro geopolitical factors and the negative impact of asset class correlations, the price further declined to a key support level around 76,400. Currently, the market is in a low-level slight oscillation and correction, with selling pressure at high levels becoming evident. Bullish momentum has weakened, and overall, the market is in a weak correction phase after a high-level rally.
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Ethereum surged to $2,404 yesterday morning but faced resistance and pulled back, with the previous high forming strong resistance and failing to break through effectively. By midday, it retreated to around $2,320 and continued to fluctuate narrowly. In the evening, it dipped to about $2,300, then experienced a false breakout with a rebound to $2,328 before quickly plunging. It then tested a key support at $2,263 and temporarily stabilized. Currently, it is oscillating around $2,290 with low levels, with obvious selling pressure at high levels and diminishing bullish momentum. The short-term trend is in a weak correction phase after a pullback.