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Iran suddenly extends an "olive branch"? Don't rush, this is more like a "bargaining chip" at the negotiation table!
Iran's three-stage plan seems moderate, but in fact, it's very "calculating." Packaging the issues of war, shipping routes, and nuclear energy essentially aims to increase bargaining power—if one round of talks fails? Then drag it out together.
What’s the motivation? It’s not a single-choice question, but a dual drive of "domestic pressure + diplomatic strategy." Internally, they need to stabilize the economy and emotions; externally, they need to gain space and shape their image.
Will there really be a reversal before "May 1"? I lean more towards: short-term easing, medium-term continued bargaining. Because before the U.S. authorization point, neither side will easily show their cards.
How will the market move?
Risk aversion declines → oil shipping fluctuations → capital waits and sees
To sum up: this is not a ceasefire, but a "pause button." #加密市场普遍上涨