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Behind the three-phase plan: Is Iran de-escalating, or just "buying time"?
Iran's strategy this time is very clever—breaking complex issues into steps, making them seem more feasible, but also easier to extend the timeline.
Why do this?
On one hand, to ease domestic pressure
On the other hand, to delay the opponent’s pace
The "May 1st" node is a key variable. If the U.S. does not renew authorization, the game logic will change; if it does, negotiation pressure will actually increase.
So this round of talks is more like:
Planning ahead, rather than shifting direction at the last minute.
Market impact is also typical:
Short-term risk decreases
Medium-term uncertainty remains high
To sum up: it’s not about ending, but about re-establishing the rules. #伊朗提出霍尔木兹海峡重开协议条件