Market consensus reversal rule: When most people are bearish, it may be the right time for a rebound.

【BlockBeats】There is an interesting phenomenon in the recent market. According to the analysis of the Market Sentiment Index (which combines media opinion, social data, and other sentiment indicators), the current consensus has generally shifted to a bearish outlook.

There is a pattern behind this phenomenon worth noting—when a broad consensus forms, the market often moves in the opposite direction. Historical data is quite convincing: the period from July to October 2024, as well as February to April 2025, clearly reflect this logic. The direction most people bet on ultimately gets contradicted by the market.

However, it’s important to note that the "extremely pessimistic index" phase may last for some time. This is especially true when the market is in a long-term bear market pattern. Currently, the market has only just entered this cycle since early November. Although historical data suggests this indicator will eventually point to a bullish trend, in a bear market environment, maintaining restraint and patience is really key—don’t let short-term emotions influence your judgment.