#ETH12月行情预测

Tonight (the early morning of December 11th), the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision meeting is scheduled to take place as planned.
A rate cut is highly likely.
Moreover, this round of rate cuts does not signify the end, but is just one part of the rate-cut cycle.
In other words, after this rate cut, the rate-cut cycle will not end; further cuts will follow.
Understanding this is very important, as the beginning and end of a cycle are signs of a trend change.
It's like the late winter; no matter how much it cools down, it won't last long because spring is coming.
Similarly, early spring won't see much cooling because summer follows spring.
Therefore, once in a rate-cut cycle, the key is to watch for when rate cuts will end completely, as that marks a change in the market cycle.
At present, there is nothing to worry about because we are still in a rate-cut cycle, not at the end.
So, the current rate cut is definitely positive for the entire financial market, and it won't be like many say, "positive for landing, but negative for the market."
On the other hand, this rate cut differs from previous ones: it is after the halt of balance sheet reduction.
Stopping balance sheet reduction means no longer draining market liquidity, and cutting rates at the same time is like adding icing on the cake.
Tonight's meeting is also likely to announce an expansion of the balance sheet, which means injecting liquidity into the market—adding another flower to the icing.

The market has already given signals, forming a double bottom and breaking through the neckline with increased volume.
Highs and lows are gradually rising.
Bears are gradually reducing volume, bulls are increasing volume.
All these are signs that the bullish forces are strengthening. Coupled with news and policy support, it indicates that the bulls have started a northern expedition.
Some external "analysts" previously said that 3200 could not be broken, but this time it was surpassed. They will look for new resistance levels and say, "If it can't go higher at this level, it will fall."
Unskilled retail traders who don't understand technical analysis will, under such analysis, keep waiting for a major drop—only to find that prices keep reaching new highs.
This highlights the importance of the "trend judgment" I emphasize in the article.
If you can't tell whether a downtrend has ended, you'll be stuck in the previous decline. When prices rise, you'll think it's just a rebound; when it dips slightly, you'll think, "It's going to crash big time."
As a result, you'll just watch the market keep rising, keep hitting your head in frustration, keep waiting, always feeling that you didn't buy at the right level before, and now it's too costly to buy in.
When the big rally finally happens, new problems will emerge: you won't be able to judge whether the uptrend has ended.
After a decline, you see a significant drop, think it's enough, and buy in, increasing your positions. But prices continue to hit new lows, trapping you deeper.
So, many people will continue to wait because they can't read the market properly—waiting for prices to fall from 2600 to 2000, and now, from 3300, waiting for a correction back to 3000 or 2600.
In this waiting process, they keep missing opportunities.
The worst will be short-sellers: after a rally, they see some volatility, then go short. As the market keeps rising, they keep shorting, and their positions get liquidated repeatedly.
The upcoming market is crucial. If you can't truly identify trends and find the right entry and exit points, you'll always just be a passerby.
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