DXY & Forex

According to TD Securities on September 12, strategists Oscar Munoz and Gennadiy Goldberg reversed their prior prediction of Federal Reserve inaction through end-2026, now expecting the first rate hike in September, followed by additional increases in October and January 2027. The forecast

The Fed funds rate futures market reflected an 85.6% probability of a US interest rate hike by September as of the morning of September 11 local time, according to CME FedWatch data. The probability surged 13.2 percentage points from 72.4% the previous day after August core Consumer Price Index data

US Treasury bond prices experienced sharp volatility on September 11 following the release of August consumer price index (CPI) data that delivered mixed signals to markets. The 10-year Treasury yield briefly surpassed 5% during intraday trading—the first time since October 23, 2023—before

The Federal Reserve faces renewed rate hike pressure after August core CPI rose 0.3% month-over-month on September 11, exceeding the 0.2% forecast. The CME FedWatch tool immediately reflected the market reaction, with the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike at the September 16 FOMC meeting

The Reserve Bank of India on September 11 announced a 1 trillion rupees ($10.5 billion) bond sale through open market operations, marking the central bank's first net OMO bond sale since September 2024. The sales will occur across three tranches: 500 billion rupees on September 17, followed by 250 b

According to Dabrowski, a member of Poland's central bank monetary policy committee, the central bank is expected to keep interest rates unchanged through the second quarter of 2027.

Traders raised bets on a Federal Reserve rate hike after U.S. core inflation data came in hotter than expected, with markets now pricing in a 90% probability of a rate increase next week. Interest rate swaps indicate traders expect two additional rate hikes by the end of 2026, as persistent price pr

From 14:30 to 14:45 on September 11, 2026 (UTC), BTC plunged 0.50% over the 15-minute period, with its price retreating to the 78,562.9–79,046.3 USDT range and an Ampl of 0.61%. BTC had rebounded for two consecutive days, gaining approximately 2.58% over the past 24 hours, before short-term technical overbought signals triggered profit-taking. The main drivers of this move were escalating geopolitical conflict in the Middle East and hotter-than-expected U.S. inflation data. The U.S. military car

According to Federal Reserve data, on September 10, the secured overnight financing rate (SOFR) fell to 3.62% from 3.64% the previous day. The effective federal funds rate held steady at 3.63% for a second consecutive day.

According to the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index, in September, the majority of consumers expect interest rates to rise over the next year as the Federal Reserve takes action to combat inflation. Consumer sentiment regarding the economic outlook for the next year deteriorated to

Jim Cramer called the 30-year U.S. Treasury "the king" on Sept. 10 during his Mad Money monologue. Long-term yields climbed near 5.3% and began competing directly with US stocks. Cramer argued that when investors can earn more than 5% from long-dated government debt, dividend stocks and growth

According to Bloomberg's survey, most economists expect the Federal Reserve to keep interest rates unchanged at its September 15-16 meeting and maintain this stance through the end of 2027, despite rising market expectations for rate increases. Of 48 surveyed economists, only 13 anticipate a rate hi

Yesterday (Sept. 10), Jim Cramer called the 30-year U.S. Treasury "the king" during his Mad Money monologue, noting the long bond's 5.3% yield now competes directly with stocks for income-focused investors. Cramer argued that when long-dated government debt offers more than 5% returns with lower

U.S. one-year inflation expectations for September came in at 4.6%, exceeding the forecast of 4.2% and rising from the prior reading of 4.0%, according to preliminary data.

According to TD Securities, the investment bank has shifted its Federal Reserve rate outlook this month, now expecting a rate hike instead of the previously anticipated rate cut in September.

According to Jin10 data, White House National Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett said on September 11 that inflation has evidently slowed over the past three months. Hassett also stated that if the Federal Reserve raises interest rates, President Trump will certainly express his views on the

The European Central Bank unanimously raised its three key policy rates by 25 basis points on September 10, according to Yonhapinfomax. Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel told CNBC the central bank remains at the upper end of a neutral policy zone and does not rule out entering a gradual

According to HSBC, the European Central Bank is expected to raise interest rates by 25 basis points in December 2026.

The US dollar strengthened during the trading session, with the dollar index rising to 99.170, up 0.096 points or 0.097% from the previous close of 99.074. The currency gained amid elevated oil prices and market anticipation of upcoming US inflation data. High oil prices stem from prolonged

According to Yonhapinfomax, the Korean won weakened against the U.S. dollar on September 11, with USD/KRW trading at 1,342.00 won as of 8:36 p.m. (New York time). The currency pair closed regular trading at 1,345.90 won, up 6.70 won from the previous session. Rising Middle East tensions and