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Track the US Dollar Index (DXY) and major currency pairs to analyze how dollar strength, liquidity expectations, and interest rate spreads impact BTC, stablecoins, and global crypto pricing.
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CME FedWatch: October Rate Hike Probability at 56.5%

According to CME FedWatch, as of September 20, market pricing indicates a 56.5% probability of a 25 basis point rate hike at the October FOMC meeting, with a 43.5% chance of no change. Looking further ahead, through December, markets price in a 46.6% probability of cumulative 25bp hikes, a 33.3% pro
CME0.19%
GateNews·09-20 21:58
CME FedWatch: October Rate Hike Probability at 56.5%

FX Experts Recommend Won Strengthen to 1300-Range for Inflation Control

Twenty foreign exchange experts surveyed by Seoul Economic Daily recommend the Korean won strengthen from its current level of 1383.3 won per dollar (closed on the 18th) to the 1300-range to stabilize inflation and boost household purchasing power. Fourteen of the 20 experts (70%) assessed won stren
GateMacroTradfiHub·09-20 21:57
FX Experts Recommend Won Strengthen to 1300-Range for Inflation Control

Fed Chair Warsh Raises Rates 25 Basis Points in September 2026

Kevin Warsh became Federal Reserve Chair on May 22, 2026, following Senate confirmation on May 13, and has since implemented a less interventionist policy approach favored by Oaktree Capital Management co-chairman Howard Marks. In September 2026, the Fed raised the federal funds rate by 25 basis
GateMacroTradfiHub·09-20 15:24
Fed Chair Warsh Raises Rates 25 Basis Points in September 2026

Emerging-Market Local-Currency Bonds Return 9-19% in 2025

The emerging-market local-currency bond market delivered returns between 9% and 19% in USD terms across major indices in 2025. This marked the best performance since 2019. Dollar-denominated sovereign debt from developing nations struggled under elevated US Treasury yields. The outperformance
GateMacroTradfiHub·09-20 15:24
Emerging-Market Local-Currency Bonds Return 9-19% in 2025

JPMorgan Launches $330B Frontier EM Bond Index by End of September 2026

JPMorgan announced the launch of its GBI-EM Edge frontier local-currency government bond index by the end of September 2026. The index will track approximately $330 billion in debt across 26 emerging-market countries, with Africa representing around 45% of the weighting. The average nominal yield on
GateNews·09-20 15:23
JPMorgan Launches $330B Frontier EM Bond Index by End of September 2026